I'll Have Another surprises to win Robert B. Lewis Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

02/04/2012 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I'll Have Another, the longest shot in the field, pulled an upset in Saturday's $200,000 Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita Park. The 1 1/16-mile stakes is a stepping stone to the $750,000 Santa Anita Derby on April 7.

Sent off as the 43-1 outsider in the eight-horse field, I'll Have Another was racing second up the backstretch behind pacesetter Isn't He Clever. Liaison, the 3-2 favorite, was running in third in the early going and fourth on the backstretch.

I'll Have Another, ridden by Mario Gutierrez, continued to press the pace as the field entered the far turn. Coming into the stretch Isn't He Clever was joined by I'll Have Another on the lead, but the eventual winner went past the pacesetter down the stretch.

I'll Have Another, trained by Doug O'Neill, hit the wire 2 3/4-lengths to the good over 11-1 longshot Empire Way. Groovin' Bob was third followed by Rousing Sermon, Isn't He Clever, Sky Kingdom and Chips All In. Liaison clipped heels and lost his jockey inside the furlong pole. Groovin' Bob was disqualified to last for interference in midstretch.

"He's an incredibly talented colt and we decided to take a chance in here," the winning trainer noted. "We thought he could hit the board and we'd move forward, but he ran unbelievable. Mario (Gutierrez) gave him a great ride. He's always trained fantastic, but we never saw this coming to be honest with you. This is incredible. We'll look at the Santa Anita Derby if all goes well."

The time for the Lewis Stakes was 1:40.84 on a fast track.

I'll Have Another, owned by Reddam Racing, notched his first win since beginning his career with a victory last July at Hollywood Park. Saturday's win was worth $120,000. The chestnut colt followed his initial win with a second in the Best Pal Stakes in August and a sixth at Saratoga in the Hopeful. His earnings now stand at $184,000.

"We bought him at the OBS (sale) in April of last year and we've loved him since Day One," said Dennis O'Neill, the trainer's brother and associate. "He trained like a really good horse from Day One, trained like a two-turn horse from Day One. He came out of his Saratoga race with sore shins, so when we got him back going, Paul (owner J. Paul Reddam) said to take our time with him. We paid $35,000 for him. It's great for Paul. Paul's put a lot of money in the game and this is fantastic for Paul."

I'll Have Another returned $88.60, $35.80 and $12.00. Empire Way paid $11.80 and $6.20, and Rousing Sermon paid $3.40 to show.

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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

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